Sandra Bullock “The Blind Side”
PRO: Bullock has huge momentum from her Golden Globes
and SAG wins, bolstered by the film’s best picture nom.
She gets the anti-elitist vote, which worked
for Julia Roberts with “Erin Brockovich” in 2001.
CON: She’s never been nominated before and still fights the
perception of being a commercial actress.
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Helen Mirren “The Last Station”
PRO: Period performances have won the past three years
(Kate Winslet last year for “TheReader, ”
Marion Cotillard in 2008 for “La vie en rose” and Mirren in 2007 for “TheQueen”).
CON: She won three years ago.
And too few voters have seen the film.
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Carey Mulligan “An Education”
PRO: Mulligan benefits from being a fresh face in the crowd.
She also could benefit from Meryl Streep and Sandra Bullock
splitting the establishment vote.
CON: An early favorite but she has lost momentum
to Bullock and Streep.
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Gabourey Sidibe “Precious”
PRO: She has been appearing on TV to show she’s
completely unlike the sullen, inarticulate Precious.
CON: Mo’Nique will likely steal Sidibe’s thunder in the supporting category.
But for a first-time actress, the nomination will be reward enough.
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Meryl Streep “Julie & Julia”
PRO: She’s the most-nominated actor in Academy history
(with a staggering 16 noms), and she hasn’t actually won in 27 years.
CON: She already has two Oscars.
The Academy’s good will for Bullock will likely trump its respect for Streep.
(The Hollywood Reporter)
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